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OK0NAG > SOLAR    13.01.11 12:38l 89 Lines 2854 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Weekly Forecasts Bulletin
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_____________________________________________________________________

Solar-activity forecast for the period Jan 14 - 20, 2011

Activity level: mostly very low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-88 f.u.
Flares: weak (0-8/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 11-40

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Jan 14 to Jan 20, 2011

quiet: Jan 20
quiet to unsettled: Jan 16 and 19
unsettled: Jan 14, 15, 17 and 18
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: 
            geomagnetic field was quiet on 
            Jan 6 and 10, quiet to unsettled on Jan 9 and 12, 
            unsettled on Jan 7, 8 and 11.  

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept, 
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom (at)ig.cas.cz 
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

Geomagnetic field during the following solar rotation should be:

active to disturbed: Feb 3
unsettled to active: Jan 24, Feb 2, 7
quiet to unsettled:  Jan 16, 22, 26, 28, (30 - 31,) Feb 4, 6, 8
quiet: Jan (14 - 15, 17 - 18,) 19 - 21, (23, 25,) 27, 29, Feb 1, (5)

Survey: quiet: Jan 5
         mostly quiet: Jan 10, 12
         quiet to unsettled: Jan 8 -9
         quiet to active: Jan 11
         quiet to minor storm: Jan 6 - 7
         quiet to disturbed: -
         mostly unsettled: -
         unsettled to active: -
         unsettled to minor storm: -
         minor to major storm: -
         active to disturbed: -
         disturbed: -

   Notices:
        High probability of changes in solar wind which may caused
        changes in magnetosphere and ionosphere is expected for
        January 15, 17 (and 18) as well as January 22 (23,) 25 - 26, (31)

        and February 3 - 6 (7 - 9).

        Days in brackets refer to a lower probability of possible
        activity enhancements depending on previous development
        on the Sun. Present forecasts are less reliable than usually.

F. K. Janda (OK1HH), Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
_____________________________________________________________________






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