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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.01.11 14:58l 111 Lines 3746 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 4 Jan 2011 12:56:38 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jan 04 1255 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU004
UGEOA 30512 10104 1249/ 9930/
10042 20042 30042
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 04 Jan 2011 until 06 Jan
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2011 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2011 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2011 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 009
COMMENT: The all quiet alert was terminated earlier today, however for
the next 24 hours we still expect rather quiet conditions with possible
intervals of C-flaring from NOAA AR 1142 and 1141. This is based on the
following observations: (1) increasing flaring activity from NOAA AR
1141 and 1142. Both have produced a small C-flare (2) A coronal hole
passing over central meridian in the northern hemisphere. During last
rotation it gave rise to moderate geomagnetic conditions with a solar
wind speed of >600 km/s. (3) A filament that erupted late on Jan 1st
that lead to a slow CME on Jan 2nd. The combined observation from
SOHO/LASCO and STEREO indicate that the CME is NOT directed straight to
the Earth, but to the west of it. We therefore do not expect geomagnetic
consequences from this CME. We also note that the partial solar eclipse
of this morning was observed by SWAP/PROBA2; more info is available on
our website http://www.sidc.be/index.php.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 031, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10104 1249/ 03///
10051 20920 3007/ 4//// 80203 90250
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10104 1249/ 03/08 04103
10091 2//// 3//// 474// 50140 60001 23709 02000
10092 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60007 44436 02000
10093 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60013 11734 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 03159 05142 01018 13032 2/801 02005 44535 01207 03012
21213 24413
UMAGF 30503 10104 1004/ 03069 1/014 21212 33312
UMAGF 31523 01224 ///// 2300/ 1/001 21000 30001
UMAGF 31523 10104 ///// 0300/ 1/007 22111 31233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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