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OK0NAG > SOLAR    31.03.08 23:30l 70 Lines 2709 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2008 22:02:04 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Mar 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 091 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Mar 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 988 (S07W35)
produced today's only B-class flare, a B2/Sf at 0534Z. All three
regions on the disk were quiet and stable and show an overall
declining trend.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (01-03 April).
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Apr-03 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           31 Mar 079
Predicted   01 Apr-03 Apr  079/075/075
90 Day Mean        31 Mar 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Mar  006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Mar  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Apr-03 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

	  	  
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