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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.12.10 13:31l 102 Lines 3465 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Thu, 9 Dec 2010 12:28:28 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Dec 09 1227 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU343
UGEOA 30512 01209 1215/ 9930/
10092 20092 30092
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 09 Dec 2010 until 11 Dec 
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 001
COMMENT: The GOES X-ray curve indicates a long duration event
yesterday. It is linked to NOAA AR 1133 (Catania 76). SDO/AIA 171 images

show a dimming at that location starting at 09h05. The flare was also
accompanied by a CME observed by STEREO (in STEREO/A COR2 around 11h39).

The CACTus CME detection based on the LASCO images estimated its speed

around 450 km/s, which means it would be arriving at Earth on Dec 13.
For now we expect quiet solar conditions with a slight chance for a
C-flare. Geomagnetic conditions can be unsettled due to the earlier
announced coronal hole wind stream.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 014, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01209 1215/ 08///
1//// 20870 3011/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 01209 1215/ 09/08 09104
10074 2//// 3//// 474// 50310 60006 41131 00000
10075 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 45712 00000
10076 2//// 3//// 472// 50150 60001 11415 01000
10077 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 11119 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 08176 02232 09033 40731 4/801 12012 12215 2/801 
USSPS 81202 09006 02312 10034 40832 4/801 13010 12014 2/802 
USSPS 31405 09080 05042 74031 41131 4/806 75001 45712 01202 76015 
11415 2/901 77001 11119 0/101 
UMAGF 31523 01209 ///// 0800/ 1/011 22221 31442 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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