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OK0NAG > SOLAR    04.12.10 23:03l 198 Lines 6044 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 4 Dec 2010 22:02:42 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Dec 04 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z

to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1130 (N12W83)

was classified as an Hsx-Alpha type spot group.  Region 1131 (N30E40) became 
more complex overnight and was classified as a Cao-Beta type spot group.


IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

at very low levels with a chance for a C-class X-ray event during the

next three days (5-7 Dec).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to remain quiet during the next three days (5-7 Dec).

III.  Event Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           04 Dec 087

Predicted   05 Dec-07 Dec  087/089/089

90 Day Mean        04 Dec 082

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec  000/001

Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec  001/001

Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/05

Major-severe storm    00/00/01

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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