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OK0NAG > SOLAR    10.11.10 23:04l 211 Lines 6343 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Nov 10 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 314 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z

to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past

24 hours. New Region 1123 (S23E16) was numbered today and produced

the biggest event of the period, a B9/Sf X-ray flare at 10/1629UTC.

New Region 1124 (N14E38) was also numbered today but has remained

quiet.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at

very low to low levels for the next three days (11-13 November).

C-class events are likely from Region 1123.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (11-13

November)

III.  Event Probabilities 11 Nov-13 Nov

Class M    10/10/10

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           10 Nov 086

Predicted   11 Nov-13 Nov  086/086/085

90 Day Mean        10 Nov 082

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 09 Nov  001/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Nov  001/003

Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Nov-13 Nov

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/10

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/10/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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