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OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.10.10 14:46l 117 Lines 3880 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 23 Oct 2010 12:42:26 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Oct 23 1241 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU296
UGEOA 30512 01023 1221/ 9930/
10232 21232 30232
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 23 Oct 2010 until 25 Oct
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 004
COMMENT: We forecast a continuation of the current low solar activity,
with only a possible occasional C flare. However, a filament eruption
occured near disc center early on Oct.22, causing a semi-halo CME. This
event may lead to a geomagnetic disturbance at the Earth by Oct. 24. In
the meantime, the solar wind speed has increased steeply over the last
12 hours, currently reaching almost 700km/s. This fast stream associated
with a coronal hole has reached the Earth earlier than predicted,
probably because of its rather high velocity. It should induce unsettled
to active geomagnetic conditions, at least for the next 24 hours, with
possible minor geostorm intervals. However, those disturbed conditions
may be extended by one more day, on Oct.14, due to the arrival of the
abovementioned CME.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 029, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01023 1221/ 22///
1//// 20820 3007/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 01023 1221/ 23/06 23103
10050 2//// 3//// 472// 50120 60003 44516 01000
10052 2//// 3//// 474// 50150 60002 32928 01000
10054 2//// 3//// 4742/ 50150 60018 13023 02000
99999
USSPS 32404 22111 03432 80007 43516 2/802 82007 31830 2/801 84006
14223 2/801
USSPS 21305 22217 04122 88008 44015 2/802 90016 32230 3/801 93013
14023 21308
USSPS 81202 23132 04522 86009 44316 2/802 88015 32729 2/801 93011
13822 31312
USSPS 31405 23069 05352 50012 44516 2X903 52015 32928 4X802 54015
13023 44718
UMAGF 30503 01020 0955/ 19061 1/010 22210 31221
UMAGF 30503 01022 0955/ 21063 1/006 20112 31011
UMAGF 30503 01023 0955/ 22069 1/014 21211 32332
UMAGF 31523 01023 ///// 2200/ 1/007 20112 31224
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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