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OK0NAG > SOLAR    14.10.10 23:04l 207 Lines 6221 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Oct 14 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 287 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Oct 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z

to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity remained at very low levels. Regions

1112 (S18W00) and 1113 (N17E63) each produced isolated low-level

B-class flares. New Region 1114 (S22W41), a single-spot A-type, was

numbered today.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low through the period (15 - 17 October).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is

expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the period (15 -

17 October) due to weak CME effects from a filament eruption on 11

October.

III.  Event Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           14 Oct 080

Predicted   15 Oct-17 Oct  080/080/082

90 Day Mean        14 Oct 080

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 13 Oct  003/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Oct  002/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct  007/007-007/008-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Oct-17 Oct

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/15/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/20/20

Minor storm           05/05/05

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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