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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.10.10 14:07l 99 Lines 3251 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 12 Oct 2010 13:06:41 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Oct 12 1305 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU285
UGEOA 30512 01012 1258/ 9930/
10122 20122 30122
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 12 Oct 2010 until 14 Oct
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 004
COMMENT: A filament located in the south east of the solar disk erupted
late on Oct 10. In SOHO/LASCO images, the CME is seen as a partial CME.
In STEREO Ahead/Behind COR2 it is seen from aside. The speed calculated
from STEREO Ahead images, is 300 km/s; from STEREO Behind images, 340
km/s. A glancing blow is expected on Oct 16. The Earth will probably
pass only through the shock heading before the plasma cloud. A short
period of geomagnetic disturbances is possible.
Yesterday, we passed through a magnetic cloud associated with a
filament eruption on Oct 06. The Bz was strongly negative for a long
period with a minor geomagnetic storm as a consequence.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01012 1258/ 11///
1//// 20750 3018/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 01012 1258/ 08/06 12100
99999
USSPS 21305 11156 01142 87003 24617 2/801
USSPS 81202 12023 01122 85003 24020 2/801
UMAGF 30503 01012 0955/ 11066 1/031 22333 34433
UMAGF 31523 01012 ///// 1100/ 1/018 21233 34444
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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