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Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2008 22:02:07 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Mar 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 083 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Mar 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 987 (S08E50)
was numbered today. It grew into a Cso type with four spots and a
Beta magnetic configuration before decaying to a plage region.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly very low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare
from Region 987.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (24 March). Unsettled to
active conditions are expected on days 2 and 3 (25-26 March),
occasionally reaching minor to major storm levels at high latitudes,
in response to a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Mar 072
Predicted 24 Mar-26 Mar 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 23 Mar 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Mar 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Mar 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar 005/008-010/015-020/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Mar-26 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/25
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/10
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/25/40
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/10/15
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to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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