| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.10.10 00:06l 229 Lines 6980 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 3AKOK0NAG00S
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 101003/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 3 Oct 2010 22:05:04 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1286143299-065609920001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 03 Oct 2010 22:31:17.0687 (UTC) FILETIME=[B2187C70:01CB634A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.48
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1286143299
----boundary_100253_4dc42f57-e0f3-4cc2-a6bb-0bcf12917376
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Oct 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Oct 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of three low-level B-class x-ray events: a B1 at 02/2337Z from
Region 1109 (N20W80), a B2 at 03/0438Z from Region 1110 (now behind
the west limb at N21), and a B1 at 03/1923Z from Region 1111
(N24E06). The disk was otherwise stable and quiet.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
generally very low, with a chance for an isolated C-class flare from
either of Region 1109 or 1111.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first day (04 October). For the second
and third days (05-06 October), mostly quiet conditions with some
unsettled periods are expected with a slight chance for isolated
active periods. The increase is forecast because of possible effects
from a weak high speed solar wind stream from a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Oct-06 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Oct 080
Predicted 04 Oct-06 Oct 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 03 Oct 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Oct 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Oct 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Oct-06 Oct 005/005-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Oct-06 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/20/20
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/20/20
Minor storm 01/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_100253_4dc42f57-e0f3-4cc2-a6bb-0bcf12917376
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_100253_4dc42f57-e0f3-4cc2-a6bb-0bcf12917376--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
