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OK0NAG > SOLAR    12.09.10 23:03l 196 Lines 5813 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 12 Sep 2010 22:02:16 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Sep 12 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 255 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z

to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  New Region 1107 (N33E62)

rotated onto the disk as a simple, unipolar group.  Region 1106

(S19E57) was quiet and stable.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low with a slight chance of C-class activity.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (13 - 15

September).

III.  Event Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           12 Sep 078

Predicted   13 Sep-15 Sep  080/080/080

90 Day Mean        12 Sep 078

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep  001/001

Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep  002/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/10/15

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                15/10/20

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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