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OK0NAG > SOLAR    10.09.10 23:04l 205 Lines 6150 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 10 Sep 2010 22:03:15 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Sep 10 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 253 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Sep 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z

to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk was

spotless.  An area of enhanced plage and surging was observed on the

east limb near S20.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

at very low levels.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to

be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels for the next three

days (11 - 13 September) due to a sequence of small, recurrent

coronal holes that are forecasted to become geoeffective.  Isolated

active periods are possible on 12 - 13 September.

III.  Event Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           10 Sep 076

Predicted   11 Sep-13 Sep  076/077/078

90 Day Mean        10 Sep 078

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 09 Sep  004/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Sep  004/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep  006/007-008/008-008/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                15/25/25

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/30/30

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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