| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.09.10 00:04l 222 Lines 6837 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 99KOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0POW<OK0NAG
Sent: 100909/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 9 Sep 2010 22:02:47 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1284069566-066802a10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 09 Sep 2010 22:28:29.0562 (UTC) FILETIME=[53F8A5A0:01CB506E]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.502
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1284069566
----boundary_158387_38731dba-ca4b-422f-8858-9ce287dc0014
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Sep 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 252 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Sep 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1105 (N19W90)
produced a long duration C3 x-ray event at 08/2333Z with an
associated west limb CME. Observations from the SOHO/LASCO C2 and C3
imagery indicates the CME is not earth directed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (10-12 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind
velocities, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, indicated a solar
wind speed enhancement to around 450 km/s during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on days one and two (10-11
September). Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a slight chance for
an isolated active period, is expected for day three (12 September),
as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Sep 074
Predicted 10 Sep-12 Sep 074/075/075
90 Day Mean 09 Sep 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Sep 008/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Sep 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Sep-12 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_158387_38731dba-ca4b-422f-8858-9ce287dc0014
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_158387_38731dba-ca4b-422f-8858-9ce287dc0014--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
