| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.08.10 00:03l 241 Lines 7353 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : O8KOK0NAG00X
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100824/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 24 Aug 2010 22:02:24 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1282687146-068154250001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 24 Aug 2010 22:27:46.0421 (UTC) FILETIME=[93A5DA50:01CB43DB]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.516
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1282687146
----boundary_159507_b7ccd17c-4f71-4e0d-b1f2-1a7ce925ea6a
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Aug 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Aug 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. No flares were observed during the period. New Region 1101
(N12E79) was numbered today and is magnetically classified as an
alpha group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (25-27 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to active levels for the
past 24 hours. The increased activity was associated with a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) moving into
geoeffective position. ACE solar wind readings indicated an enhanced
interplanetary field (IMF) intensity (peak 22 nT at 2241Z) combined
with intermittent periods of southward IMF Bz (maximum deflection
-14 nT at 0104Z) with an increase in velocities from 358 km/s to 709
km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (25 August),
at mostly unsettled levels on day two (26 August), and at quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (27 August) as the effects of the CH
HSS subside.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Aug-27 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Aug 074
Predicted 25 Aug-27 Aug 074/075/075
90 Day Mean 24 Aug 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Aug 005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Aug 013/020
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 015/015-010/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Aug-27 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/25/20
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/25
Minor storm 15/10/10
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_159507_b7ccd17c-4f71-4e0d-b1f2-1a7ce925ea6a
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_159507_b7ccd17c-4f71-4e0d-b1f2-1a7ce925ea6a--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
