| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.08.10 00:13l 233 Lines 7128 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 98KOK0NAG00T
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<OE6XPE<OE5XBL<OE2XEL<OK0NHD<OK0NMA<OK0NAG
Sent: 100809/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 9 Aug 2010 22:02:06 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1281391149-06543c6a0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 09 Aug 2010 22:27:08.0546 (UTC) FILETIME=[00E05620:01CB3812]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.532
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1281391149
----boundary_302153_4bd3209a-fb70-4dba-b4ee-3c13cee686f8
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Aug 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 221 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Aug 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Two B1 flares were
observed during the period. New Region 1096 (N19W16) was numbered
and was classified as a Bxo spot group with a beta magnetic
configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low. However, there is a chance for a C-class flare from Region
1096.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels, with an
isolated active period between 09/03-06Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day 1 (10 August)
due to the expected arrival of the CME observed on SOHO EIT on 07
August. This CME was associated with the M1/2f flare at 07/1824Z.
Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on day two (11 August) due to
the expected arrival of a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
Quiet levels are expected on day three (12 August).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Aug 083
Predicted 10 Aug-12 Aug 084/084/084
90 Day Mean 09 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Aug 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Aug 012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 015/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Aug-12 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/15
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_302153_4bd3209a-fb70-4dba-b4ee-3c13cee686f8
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_302153_4bd3209a-fb70-4dba-b4ee-3c13cee686f8--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
