| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.07.10 23:11l 227 Lines 6940 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : E7KOK0NAG013
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK4PEN<SR1BSZ<OK0NHD<DB0ERF<OK0NAG
Sent: 100714/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 14 Jul 2010 22:02:09 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1279144749-06414ed40001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 14 Jul 2010 22:26:37.0468 (UTC) FILETIME=[9F9CB5C0:01CB23A3]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.558
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1279144749
----boundary_12386_c1e59e85-83e4-4794-8e46-a3b7c2908d45
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1087 (N20E08) produced
two C-class events. The first was a C1 flare at 14/1230Z and the
second was a C3 flare at 14/2047Z. 1087 is a Dso group with a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration and has shown little change in
areal coverage and spot number during the last 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event
from Region 1087.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The solar wind monitor on
the ACE spacecraft indicated a sector boundary crossing into a
positive sector at approximately 14/0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
on day one (15 July) due to a coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet
conditions are expected to return on days two and three (16-17
July).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jul 078
Predicted 15 Jul-17 Jul 078/078/078
90 Day Mean 14 Jul 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/05/05
Minor storm 10/01/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_12386_c1e59e85-83e4-4794-8e46-a3b7c2908d45
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_12386_c1e59e85-83e4-4794-8e46-a3b7c2908d45--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
