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OK0NAG > SOLAR    09.07.10 23:07l 205 Lines 6182 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jul 09 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z

to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  New Region 1087 (N18E72) was

numbered today and produced three C-class events.  The largest of

these was a C3/Sf at 09/1951Z.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low to low.  There is a chance for a C-class flare, and a slight

chance for a M-class event, from Region 1087.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron

flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (10-12

July).

III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul

Class M    05/05/05

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           09 Jul 080

Predicted   10 Jul-12 Jul  080/080/080

90 Day Mean        09 Jul 075

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/003

Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul  005/006

Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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