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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.07.10 23:23l 237 Lines 7236 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 6 Jul 2010 22:05:12 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. A
long duration B1 flare began at 05/1836Z, peaked at 06/0024Z, and
ended at 06/0312Z. This event was associated with a CME observed in
SOHO LASCO C2 imagery, lifting off the NW limb at 05/2108Z. The
source of this CME appeared to be a filament eruption, observed in
SOHO EIT imagery at 05/1751Z on the NW limb near N26. This CME does
not appear to be earth-directed. A second filament eruption occurred
near N36E16, observed in SOHO EIT imagery at 06/0400Z. Region 1086
(N18W65) produced a B1 flare at 06/1011Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (07-09
July). Isolated unsettled levels are expected at high latitudes on
day three (09 July).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Jul 073
Predicted 07 Jul-09 Jul 074/074/074
90 Day Mean 06 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul 002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jul 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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