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OK0NAG > SOLAR    02.07.10 23:11l 215 Lines 6566 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jul 02 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z

to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. 

Region 1084 (S20W06) produced a B1 flare at 01/2054Z.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

very low throughout the forecast period (03-05 July).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active

periods at mid and high latitudes. The greater than 2 MeV electron

flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24

hours.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an

isolated active period on day 1 (03 July).  Mostly quiet conditions

are expected for days 2 and 3 (04-05 July) as the effects from the

recurrent coronal hole high speed stream subside.

III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           02 Jul 073

Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  073/074/074

90 Day Mean        02 Jul 075

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  008/012

Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  008/008

Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  006/007-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/05/05

Minor storm           05/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                20/05/05

Minor storm           10/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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