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OK0NAG > SOLAR    24.06.10 23:06l 217 Lines 6503 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jun 24 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z

to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1082 (N27W65) was

quiet and stable.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain

at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class

event through days one and two (25 - 26 June) as Region 1082 rotates

around the limb.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be predominately quiet through late on day one (25

June).  Field activity is expected to increase to unsettled to

active levels, with a slight chance of isolated minor storm periods,

the remainder of day one through day three (26 - 27 June).  The

increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed

stream.

III.  Event Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           24 Jun 074

Predicted   25 Jun-27 Jun  075/076/077

90 Day Mean        24 Jun 075

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun  002/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jun  002/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  008/008-015/015-012/012

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                10/25/20

Minor storm           01/15/10

Major-severe storm    01/05/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/30/25

Minor storm           01/20/15

Major-severe storm    01/05/05



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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