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OK0NAG > SOLAR    21.06.10 23:39l 202 Lines 6051 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 Jun 21 2230 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 171 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jun 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  19/2100Z

to 20/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low. No flares occurred

during the past 24 hours.  Region 1082 (N27W10) is growing slowly

but was quiet and stable. (Today's 10.7 cm flux was estimated using

RSTN data).

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron

flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is

expected to be quiet.

III.  Event Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           20 Jun 070

Predicted   21 Jun-23 Jun  070/070/070

90 Day Mean        20 Jun 075

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jun  002/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jun  002/005

Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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