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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.06.10 03:20l 215 Lines 7051 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (17-19 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active at mid latitudes. Storm
conditions occurred at high latitude stations. Elevated solar wind
speeds near 550 km/s were observed throughout the day.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active on day 1 (17 June) due to
coronal hole effects. Conditions are expected to be quiet to
unsettled with the chance for an isolated active period on day 2 (18
June). Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (19 June).
III. Event Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jun 072
Predicted 17 Jun-19 Jun 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 16 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun 009/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun 015/016
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 010/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/30/20
Minor storm 20/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 60/40/30
Minor storm 30/20/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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