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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.06.10 23:09l 221 Lines 6743 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 12 Jun 2010 22:05:26 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate during the past 24 hours.
Region 1081 (N24W58) produced an M2.0/SN flare at 0057Z which was
associated with a Type II radio sweep and a weak CME (not earthward
directed). The region also produced a C6.1 flare at 0917Z. Region
1081 is a small D-type group and appears to be decaying slowly.
Region 1080 (S24W65) maintains a beta magnetic classification and
produced a C1.0 flare.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-Class event for the next three days
(13-15 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the last 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (13-15 June).
III. Event Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
Class M 10/10/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Jun 076
Predicted 13 Jun-15 Jun 076/076/074
90 Day Mean 12 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jun 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jun 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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