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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.05.10 00:09l 218 Lines 6608 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 26 May 2010 22:04:17 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 May 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 146 Issued at 2200Z on 26 May 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. Region 1072 (S15
W52) has decayed to a unipolar H type group. No flares were
observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be initially quiet. An increase to unsettled to active
levels with a slight chance for minor storm periods is expected
around mid-day on day one (May 27), due to the arrival of the CME
observed on 23 May. Continued active levels with a slight chance for
minor storm periods are expected on day two (May 28) and continuing
through day three (May 29), with the arrival of the CME observed on
24 May.
III. Event Probabilities 27 May-29 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 May 072
Predicted 27 May-29 May 075/076/078
90 Day Mean 26 May 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 May 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 May-29 May 015/015-020/022-018/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 May-29 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/50/40
Minor storm 15/15/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/50/45
Minor storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 15/15/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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