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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.05.10 23:08l 202 Lines 6053 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 18 May 2010 22:00:54 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 May 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 138 Issued at 2200Z on 18 May 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. The visible disk
remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the period (19-21 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for day one (19 May). Quiet to
unsettled, with isolated active periods, are expected on day two and
three (20-21 May). The increase is forecast due to the possible
onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 19 May-21 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 May 069
Predicted 19 May-21 May 072/072/074
90 Day Mean 18 May 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 May 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 May 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 May-21 May 005/008-008/013-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 May-21 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/20/25
Minor storm 01/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/25/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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