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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.05.10 23:08l 209 Lines 6303 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 15 May 2010 22:03:20 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 May 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 135 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (16 - 18 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels throughout the period.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during day 1 (16 May) with a
chance for unsettled levels due to possible coronal hole effects.
Field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 2 - 3
(17 - 18 May).
III. Event Probabilities 16 May-18 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 May 070
Predicted 16 May-18 May 070/072/072
90 Day Mean 15 May 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 May 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May-18 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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