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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.04.10 23:06l 215 Lines 6506 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 30 Apr 2010 22:03:12 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 120 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1064 (N15E28) was
numbered today and produced a B1 flare at 30/0021Z. The GOES-14
imagery observed a C2 x-ray flare at 30/1934Z. The source of this
event was located just beyond the NE limb of the sun.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from the
active area approaching the NE limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for days one and two (01-02 May). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active conditions, are expected on
day three (03 May) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream
becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 01 May-03 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Apr 079
Predicted 01 May-03 May 079/079/079
90 Day Mean 30 Apr 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Apr 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 May-03 May 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 May-03 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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