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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.04.10 23:06l 223 Lines 6726 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 21 Apr 2010 22:01:05 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 111 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (22-24 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft indicate that the Earth is
currently under the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Solar winds increased from around 350 km/s to 425 km/s during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
days one and two (22-23 April). The increase in activity is due to
possible CME effects and a continued influence of the coronal hole
high speed stream. Predominately quiet conditions are expected for
day three (24 April).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Apr-24 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Apr 076
Predicted 22 Apr-24 Apr 076/078/078
90 Day Mean 21 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Apr 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Apr 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Apr-24 Apr 010/012-008/008-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Apr-24 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/15/15
Minor storm 15/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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