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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.04.10 23:06l 207 Lines 6294 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the last 24 hours and the disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (21-23 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated
active periods for the next three days (21-23 April). The increase
in activity is associated with several CME's (observed on 15, 18 and
19 April) and a coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a
geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 21 Apr-23 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Apr 076
Predicted 21 Apr-23 Apr 080/082/084
90 Day Mean 20 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Apr 003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Apr 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Apr-23 Apr 010/012-012/015-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Apr-23 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/20
Minor storm 05/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/30/25
Minor storm 10/15/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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