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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.04.10 00:05l 205 Lines 6155 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 14 Apr 2010 22:03:26 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 104 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were no flares
observed during the last 24 hours. Region 1062 (S18W34) has decayed
to spotless plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (15-17 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (15-17 April).
Revised estimates for yesterday's partial-halo CME speed indicate a
probable arrival of the flank of the CME at Earth sometime on 18
April.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Apr 075
Predicted 15 Apr-17 Apr 075/075/077
90 Day Mean 14 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Apr 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Apr 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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