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OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.04.10 00:05l 213 Lines 6343 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 10 Apr 2010 22:03:40 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 100 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. No flares were
observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The ACE spacecraft observed a
continued decline in the solar wind speed, averaging 375 km/s. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (11 April). Quiet to unsettled
conditions, with isolated active periods, are expected on day two
and three (12-13 April). This activity is expected due to the 08
April full halo CME.
III. Event Probabilities 11 Apr-13 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Apr 075
Predicted 11 Apr-13 Apr 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 10 Apr 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Apr 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Apr 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 005/005-010/012-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Apr-13 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/15/15
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/25/20
Minor storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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