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OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.04.10 23:06l 223 Lines 6754 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 3 Apr 2010 22:04:12 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 093 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1059 (S22W15)
produced a long-duration B7 x-ray event at 0954Z which was
associated with a halo CME. The CME plane-of-sky speed was estimated
to be about 500 km/s. Regions 1059 and 1057 (N16W72) were generally
unchanged during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (4-6 April). There is however, a slight
chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (4-5 April). An increase
to quiet to unsettled with a chance for an active period is expected
late on the third day (6 April) due to possible effects from a
favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Apr 077
Predicted 04 Apr-06 Apr 078/080/080
90 Day Mean 03 Apr 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Apr 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Apr 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/25
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/30
Minor storm 01/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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