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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.04.10 23:03l 223 Lines 6763 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 2 Apr 2010 22:01:44 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 092 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N16W59) and
Region 1059 (S23W03) both remain stable and quiet. No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The ACE spacecraft
indicated a shock around 02/0635Z. Solar wind speed increased from
around 435 km/s to 540 km/s, density increased, and the IMF
sustained several hours of southward Bz. The Boulder magnetometer
observed a 19 nT sudden impulse at 02/0721Z. The exact source for
the activity is not known, however, it may have resulted from the
CME observed on 30 March.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet with isolated periods of
unsettled conditions for the next three days (03-05 April).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Apr 076
Predicted 03 Apr-05 Apr 075/075/080
90 Day Mean 02 Apr 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Apr 009/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Apr 012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 01/01/01
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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