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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.03.10 00:04l 215 Lines 6556 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 28 Mar 2010 22:02:57 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 087 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15E04)
remained at a Beta magnetic classification while growing in size.
Region 1059 (S22E61), now a Hax Alpha spot has increased in size as
well.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class flares expected and a slight chance for a M-class flare
over the next 3 days (29-31 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet with an isolated period of unsettled
to active conditions between 03-06Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain mostly quiet for day 1 (29 March), with brief
periods of unsettled to active conditions possible days 2-3 (30-31
March) due to brief periods of Bz south with slightly elevated solar
wind speeds.
III. Event Probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Mar 086
Predicted 29 Mar-31 Mar 088/088/088
90 Day Mean 28 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Mar 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Mar 005/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Mar-31 Mar 005/007-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/40/40
Minor storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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