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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.03.10 00:05l 214 Lines 6623 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 26 Mar 2010 22:04:08 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 085 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15E30) has
grown in size and increased in classification to a Dki Beta. New
Region 1058 (N25W21) remains stable and quiet as a Axx Alpha spot. A
filament was observed lifting off the SW quadrant of the disk around
26/07Z. An associated weak limb event CME is visible on LASCO C3
coronagraph imagery.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class flares likely, and a slight chance for an M-class flare
over the next three days (27-29 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of an
isolated active period over the next 3 days (27-29 March).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Mar 086
Predicted 27 Mar-29 Mar 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 26 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 005/007-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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