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OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.03.10 23:02l 228 Lines 7111 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 24 Mar 2010 22:00:54 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 083 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1057 (N17E57) has showed steady growth throughout the
day and is classified as a D type group. The total sunspot area
increased to about 240 millionths in size near the end of the
period. Region 1057 (N17W50) decayed to spotless plage. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels with C-flares likely from Region 1057. There
is a slight chance for M-class events also from Region 1057.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days
(25-26 March) due to the arrival of a weak coronal hole high-speed
stream. The geomagnetic field is expected to return to quiet levels
on day three (27 March) as the effects of the coronal hole subside.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Mar 084
Predicted 25 Mar-27 Mar 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 24 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar 000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Mar 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/05
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/05
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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