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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.03.10 23:03l 211 Lines 6380 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 19 Mar 2010 22:03:11 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 078 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1054 (N16W69)
produced the largest event of the period, a B7/sf flare, at
18/2308Z. An associated Type II radio sweep was observed by Palehua
and Learmonth radio observatories at 18/2311Z. Palehua reported a
speed of 776km/s. SOHO LASCO C2 depicted a weak, west limb CME.
Region 1056 (N18E22) remains stable and quiet.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low with only a slight chance for a C-class flare within the
next 3 days (20-22 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next 3 days (20-22 March).
III. Event Probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Mar 084
Predicted 20 Mar-22 Mar 084/084/084
90 Day Mean 19 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Mar 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Mar 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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