| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.03.10 00:14l 235 Lines 7254 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : E3KOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK3GET<IW2OHX<IK2DUW<I4UKI<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100314/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 14 Mar 2010 22:02:05 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1268604063-061d96f90001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 14 Mar 2010 22:23:49.0015 (UTC) FILETIME=[04CF5270:01CAC3C5]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.714
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1268604063
----boundary_54798_909833ff-15d3-45a5-9c72-39246723bd52
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1054 (N14E01) produced two C-class flares. The C-class
event at 13/2349Z was a long duration C1.5 SF flare associated with
a partial halo CME and a sympathetic disappearing filament. Region
1054 has shown little growth and still magnetically classified as a
Beta-Gamma. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (15-17 March).
C-flares are likely from Region 1054.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days
(15-16 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream and
a solar sector boundary crossing. Geomagnetic activity is expected
to decrease to quiet levels on day three (17 March).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 089
Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 089/090/091
90 Day Mean 14 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 005/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 007/007-007/007-005/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/10
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/10
Minor storm 15/15/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_54798_909833ff-15d3-45a5-9c72-39246723bd52
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_54798_909833ff-15d3-45a5-9c72-39246723bd52--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
