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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.02.10 23:07l 204 Lines 6175 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 27 Feb 2010 22:04:59 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 058 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected
during the forecast period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low due to the return of old Region 1045 (N19, L251).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days one and
two (28 February - 01 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. Activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels
on day three (02 March) as the effects of the coronal hole wane.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Feb 079
Predicted 28 Feb-02 Mar 084/084/084
90 Day Mean 27 Feb 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Feb 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Feb 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar 007/007-007/010-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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