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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.02.10 23:08l 211 Lines 6434 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 26 Feb 2010 22:05:20 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 057 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
Regions 1050 (S18W51) and 1051 (N15E41) remained quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low on day one (27 February). However, there is a chance for C-class
flares on days two and three (28 February - 01 March) due to the
return of old Region 1045 (N19, L251).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (27 February). Activity is
expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days two and
three (28 February - 01 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Feb-01 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Feb 081
Predicted 27 Feb-01 Mar 082/084/084
90 Day Mean 26 Feb 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Feb 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Feb 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Feb-01 Mar 005/006-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Feb-01 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/20/20
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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