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OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.02.10 23:08l 229 Lines 7026 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 25 Feb 2010 22:05:14 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
Regions 1050 (S19W40) and 1051 (N16E54) were quiet and stable
Bxo/Beta groups. SOHO/LASCO images showed a faint, slow CME from the
southeast quadrant late yesterday (estimated plane of sky velocity
348 km/sec). No new regions were numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low during most of the period. However, there will be a chance for
C-class flares beginning on day 3 (28 February) due to the expected
return of old Region 1045 (N19, L=251).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (26 - 27
February). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
levels on day 3 (28 February) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. The CME mentioned above is not expected to
disturb the field during the period.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Feb 083
Predicted 26 Feb-28 Feb 082/080/082
90 Day Mean 25 Feb 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Feb 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb 005/005-005/006-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/20
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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