| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.02.10 23:06l 225 Lines 6852 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : E2KOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100214/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 14 Feb 2010 22:03:51 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1266184973-060b6f6e0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 14 Feb 2010 22:24:55.0812 (UTC) FILETIME=[890EBC40:01CAADC4]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: 0.809
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1266184973
----boundary_159995_2d4802e0-6a36-4142-9608-9b4982605fee
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Feb 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Feb 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1048 (N20E64) produced a
C4 flare at 14/1204Z. Region 1046 (N24W23) produced an isolated
B-class flare. Region 1046 was in a gradual decay phase with
decreased spot count and area as well as a decrease in magnetic
complexity. No new regions were assigned.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. C-class flares are likely. There is also a chance for
an isolated M-class flare from Regions 1046 and 1048.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels during the period (15 -
17 February) with a chance for minor storm levels. A CME is expected
to impact the field on 15 February. A recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream is expected to disturb the field during 16 - 17
February.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Feb 089
Predicted 15 Feb-17 Feb 086/084/084
90 Day Mean 14 Feb 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Feb 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Feb 003/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Feb-17 Feb 012/012-018/018-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/40/35
Minor storm 10/20/10
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 45/45/45
Minor storm 15/25/15
Major-severe storm 10/15/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_159995_2d4802e0-6a36-4142-9608-9b4982605fee
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_159995_2d4802e0-6a36-4142-9608-9b4982605fee--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
