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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.02.08 23:30l 73 Lines 2848 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 27 Feb 2008 22:01:48 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 058 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind
measurements at the ACE spacecraft indicated signatures consistent
with a co-rotating interaction region around 27/1400Z. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor
storm levels at high latitudes for 28-29 February due to a coronal
hole high speed stream. Predominately unsettled conditions are
expected for 01 March.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Feb-01 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Feb 071
Predicted 28 Feb-01 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 27 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Feb 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Feb 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Feb-01 Mar 015/015-012/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Feb-01 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor storm 15/15/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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