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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.02.10 14:44l 105 Lines 3649 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 10 Feb 2010 12:37:25 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Feb 10 1236 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU041
UGEOA 30512 00210 1224/ 9930/
11102 20102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Feb 2010 until 12 Feb
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 005
COMMENT: The rotation of the Bz component of the interplanetary
magnetic field from negative to positive values on Feb 09. Several solar
wind parameters made a sudden jump just before this rotation. These
phenomena are can be linked with the arrival of the CME associated with
the M-flare of Feb 07. The influence was limited: geomagnetic conditions
were quiet: the magnetic field was not intense. The CME associated with
an M-flare of Feb 08 was not detected by CACTus as an (partial) halo CME.
The total X-ray flux decreased. The probability for M-flares is below
50%. C-flares are still probable.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 039, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 00210 1224/ 09///
1//// 20910 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 00210 1224/ 10/08 10104
10040 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50200 60017 43122 17100
10041 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60013 13423 03000
10042 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 25117 00000
10043 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 41624 02100
99999
USSPS 21305 09176 ///22 06029 42323 57622 07004 14423 01208 08001
26817 00101
USSPS 81202 10023 ///32 08001 25418 00101 07006 13924 04206 06024
42723 57618
USSPS 31405 10088 07332 40020 43122 24617 41008 13423 24413 42001
25117 0X101 43001 41624 0X102
UMAGF 31523 00210 ///// 0900/ 1/004 22112 31111
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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