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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.02.08 23:30l 72 Lines 2836 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2008 22:01:48 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 057 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The only region on the
visible disk is Region 983 (S06W54).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (27 February).
Unsettled to active conditions are expected on days two and three
(28 - 29 February) with isolated minor storm levels possible at high
latitudes. The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed wind stream.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Feb 071
Predicted 27 Feb-29 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 26 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Feb 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Feb 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Feb-29 Feb 007/008-010/015-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Feb-29 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/25
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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