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OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.02.08 02:00l 72 Lines 2856 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Mon, 25 Feb 2008 22:01:49 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Feb 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 983 (S01W39),
currently classified as an Axx alpha group, was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (26 February). Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected on day two (27 February). Unsettled to active
levels are expected on day three (28 February) with isolated minor
storm conditions at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole
becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Feb 071
Predicted 26 Feb-28 Feb 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 25 Feb 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Feb 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb 005/005-007/008-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb-28 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/25
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/10
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your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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