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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.01.10 09:05l 211 Lines 6438 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 14 Jan 2010 22:01:25 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1040 (N28W30) has been stable and is classified as
a Eki-beta group with 24 spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (15-17 January).
There is a slight chance that Region 1040 will produce an isolated
M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next two days (15-16
January) .On day three (17 January), quiet to unsettled levels are
expected with the arrival of a coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jan 090
Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 089/087/085
90 Day Mean 14 Jan 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/20
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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