| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.12.09 00:06l 233 Lines 7126 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : PCJOK0NAG010
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<PY1AYH<F4BWT<SR1BSZ<OK0NHD<OK0PHK<OK0NAG
Sent: 091225/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: UNKNOWN[147.231.106.1]
Date: 25 Dec 2009 22:02:24 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1261778545-064b91760001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 25 Dec 2009 22:22:16.0218 (UTC) FILETIME=[B6DD5FA0:01CA85B0]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.97
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1261778545
----boundary_110764_9b540454-eca3-4fba-add8-552a7c399a20
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Dec 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 359 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Dec 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind observations from the ACE
satellite decreased gradually after 24/2235Z, from 380 km/s to 282
km/s at 25/1457Z. Velocities then increased to 354 km/s at 25/1708Z
as the density increased to a peak of 13 p/cc. The interplanetary
magnetic field (IMF) increased, with the total field reaching +10 nT
at 25/1852Z. The southward component of the IMF ranged between -8 nT
and +7 nT, with the peak of -8 nT at 25/1609Z. This activity is
consistent with the arrival of the partial halo coronal mass
ejection (CME) observed on 22 December.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet, with isolated unsettled periods
possible at high latitudes, on day one (26 December). Quiet levels
are expected on days two and three (27-28 December).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Dec-28 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Dec 076
Predicted 26 Dec-28 Dec 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 25 Dec 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Dec 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Dec 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Dec-28 Dec 007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Dec-28 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_110764_9b540454-eca3-4fba-add8-552a7c399a20
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_110764_9b540454-eca3-4fba-add8-552a7c399a20--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
