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HB9ABX > SOLAR 11.12.09 21:48l 32 Lines 1206 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : KUI9B4HB9EAS
Read: GUEST
Subj: SS prediction nonsense
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DB0OVN<DB0IUZ<DB0FBB<DB0ERF<OK0NHD<HB9EAS
Sent: 091211/2038z @:HB9EAS.CHE.EU [Basel JN37TM] DP6.00 $:KUI9B4HB9EAS
From: HB9ABX @ HB9EAS.CHE.EU (Felix)
To: SOLAR @ WW
Since two years, the solar spots are no longer following the
predictions.
The so called "experts" at NOAA Space Weather Prediction
Center predicted in January 07 the beginning of the cycle 24
to occur in mid 2008. As this did not occur, they shifted the
prediction one year later to mid 2009.
Now we are at the end of 2009 and still no beginning of
the next sunspot cycle ...
Furthermore, they reduced the predicted maximum from
140 to 90 sunspots, and delayed the predicted peak also
one year.
Now have a look at the latest update of the preditions
(2009 Dec. 8), and you see that still the preditions are
way out of reality ... see:
http://home.datacomm.ch/hb9abx/sunspot-08-09.htm
There you also see the previous predictions that were
revised and revised ...
I ask, why the "experts" still continue to make new
predictions, as the situation is so undecided, that we may
even enter a "mauder minimum" or any kind of solar
spot maximum between 25 and 150 ...
Would it not be wiser if the "experts" would say: We cannot
make any valid prediction, as the present behaving of the sun
is completely out of the our knowledge ?
Felix HB9ABX
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